"covid-map-txt-state-AR": "Arkansas", Its common to see delays or spikes in reported cases, as local health departments focus on vaccine reporting. The lower and upper bounds for the forecasted values are shown in parentheses. ", Thanks to millions of vaccinations, California's economy is open. "covid-map-txt-dncs": "New cases per day", "covid-vaccine-txt-demographics-age_12_17": "Ages 12 to 17", The rate of positive tests over the last 7 days is 4.5%. The number of COVID-19 diagnostic test results in California reached a total of 188,641,670, an increase of tests from the prior day total. "covid-map-txt-state-HI": "Hawaii", "covid-map-txt-state-VA": "Virginia", ", "covid-map-txt-dpps-view-map-data-table": "View new cases map data as a table", Thescenarios were developed using a number of nationwidestudies and models. "covid-map-txt-slider-label-new": "Select a date for new cases data", Over the past few weeks, the area has seen a consistent decline in COVID-19 metrics. It's the. Ensemble and specific team forecast performance is evaluated using a variety of metrics, including the assessment of prediction interval coverage. It's not uncommon to see delays or gaps in the raw numbers reported. Nina Bai and Robin Marks , UCSF. Random forest ensemble of the predictors generated from the SGroup-SIkJalpha submission, HHS data, as well as historical FluSurv-NET data. The blue box represents the forecasted number of cases at the 30 day mark based on models for California. Data-driven COVID-19 case forecasts according to Ontario public health units (PHUs) This daily report presents forecasts of the number of COVID-19 cases reported in each of the 34 public health units (PHUs) in Ontario, Canada as well as for the province. "covid-vaccine-txt-demographics-age_25_39": "Ages 25 to 39", "covid-map-txt-fatality-tab": "Fatality rate", If you havent had the COVID vaccine, you can take many steps to reduce your risk of infection. "covid-vaccine-txt-map-table-second-column-title": "At least 1 dose", In our forecasted hot spots views, the uncertainty interval is shown in parentheses, from the lower bound of the estimated forecast to the upper bound of the estimated forecast. Additional COVID-19 age data, including narrower age groupings, is available. "covid-map-txt-county-modal-no-data": "No data available for this location. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, United States Department of Health & Human Services. This includes people who have had one dose of the Janssen/Johnson & Johnson COVID-19 vaccine or two doses of the Pfizer-BioNTech or Moderna COVID-19 vaccines. "covid-map-txt-state-UT": "Utah", "covid-map-txt-ttrs": "Number of tests", The population denominators in these charts come from the California Department of Finances population projections for 2020. "covid-map-txt-county-modal-subtitle": "For", "covid-map-txt-state-NV": "Nevada", Taking other forecasts as the input, this is arithmetic average across eligible models of cumulative deaths forecasts. "covid-vaccine-txt-show-all-btn": "Show all states", "covid-vaccine-txt-title-percent_least_one_dose_65plus": "Age 65 and up", The CDC evaluates the current COVID-19 risk of each county into levels. January 21, 2021. If you're fully vaccinated, you may be able to travel, visit restaurants and public places, and enjoy safe outdoor activities. "covid-map-txt-county-table-btn-date": "for", If you are sick or you've been exposed to the to the COVID-19 virus, stay home except to get medical care. It accounts for the delay from infection to onset of symptoms. Moderna Inc. cut its annual sales forecast for COVID-19 vaccine on Thursday, citing short-term supply constraints that would push some deliveries to next year, sending its shares down nearly 11 . Mayo Clinic uses a Bayesian susceptible, infected, recovered (SIR) model. Users can download the LEMMA package and input their own data and priors for parameters using R or a simple Excel interface. Last updatedNovember 3, 2022 at 10:00 AM. "covid-vaccine-txt-demographics_one-dose_25_39": "The percentage of people in the United States between the ages of 25 and 39 who have received at least 1 dose of the COVID-19 vaccine is ", Confirmed deaths by race and ethnicity in California. IHME updates its COVID-19 models and forecasts on a monthly basis. Updated {PUBLISHED_DATE} with data from {MINUS_ONE_DATE}. "covid-vaccine-txt-demographics-age_50_64": "Ages 50 to 64", "covid-map-txt-table-trends-fatality": "Fatality rate", Statewide short-term (2 year) projections are revised annually. The model for California, as of April 7, predicted that COVID-19 deaths per day would peak on April 17. "covid-map-txt-state-PR": "Puerto Rico", We also use historical data from The COVID Tracking Project. "covid-map-txt-switch-btn": "Show 14-day forecast", In Riverside County, 59.9% of residents ages 6 months and older have completed their primary vaccine series, which includes both shots of the Pfizer or both shots of the Moderna vaccines or one shot of the Johnson & Johnson vaccine. "covid-map-txt-table-hot": "Hot spots map trend data", In the last 24 hours, more than 33,000 people in the state had tested positive for COVID-19. At least 1 dose. "covid-map-txt-slider-label-total": "Select a date for total cases data", Data is updated on the first week of every month. 72.4% of population vaccinated (with primary series) August 25 - October 19 Cases 10,499,008 total 2,456 daily avg. "covid-vaccine-txt-btn-table-map-btn-expand": "View COVID-19 vaccines by state as a table", Pessimistic assumes the Omicron hospitalization rate in immunonaive is slightly lower than for Delta and booster vaccine effectiveness is lower,. "covid-map-txt-btn-play-map-animation-hot": "Play the hot spots map animation", "covid-vaccine-txt-visually-hidden-app-description": "Vaccine map and trends data", Mayo Clinic is tracking COVID-19 cases and forecasting hot spots. By Amarica Rafanelli January 5, 2021 11:23 AM Republish Risk-focused booster policy assumes a booster campaign starting on October 1, 2022 only for ages 55+ and individuals with chronic conditions with booster uptake reduced by 15% as compared to the first booster. Fatality rate is the proportion of people who die of those who tested positive for COVID-19. Get a COVID-19 vaccine as soon as it's available to you. Late boosters assumes that the reformulated boosters will be available from Nov 13, 2022 for all adults with booster coverage reduced by 10% as compared to the historical seasonal flu vaccination. Positivity rate is calculated as the number of positive molecular tests divided by the total molecular tests performed. You can find nowcasts, forecasts, and scenarios: https://calcat.covid19.ca.gov. "covid-map-txt-dncs-desc": "New cases per day are the number of COVID-19 cases reported in the previous 24 hours. "covid-map-txt-table-lang-info": "Showing _START_ to _END_ of _TOTAL_ results", "covid-vaccine-txt-demographics_one-dose_75plus": "The percentage of people in the United States ages 75 and up who have received at least 1 dose of the COVID-19 vaccine is ", The model uses mobility data and travel patterns to simulate spatial contact patterns. "covid-map-txt-average-tab": "Average positive test rate", "covid-map-txt-sharing-twitter": "Share this page to Twitter", This model automatically updates predictions over time, as new data is available. Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding. The range displayed in the plot is the lowest to highest uncertainty estimates from the input models. "covid-map-txt-btn-pause-map-animation-hot": "Pause the hot spots map animation", "covid-map-txt-table-hot-forecast-warning-under-slider": "There is an uncertainty interval for all forecasted dates. "covid-map-txt-state-NM": "New Mexico", Among the 2.9 million people in. Track the progress of the U.S. population with at least one dose of the COVID-19 vaccine compared with the percentage of people who are fully vaccinated. The CDC Ensemble from the CDC FluSight Challenge includes all available flu forecasts for the state of California. "covid-map-txt-trds-desc": "Individuals who have recovered from COVID-19. "covid-map-txt-map-tot-cases-title": "Total cases for", "covid-vaccine-txt-demographics-age_40_49": "Ages 40 to 49", Note that the form of the model may vary between counties and over subsequent published forecasts. "covid-map-txt-table-trends-average": "Positive test rate (7-day average)", Once a region's four-week ICU projection shows a capacity of greater than or equal to 15%, the order will be lifted for that area. Photo by Doug Oakley . This chart uses data from people 5 and older. No new variant assumes there is the same mix of strains circulating as at the beginning of the projection period. ", New variant assumes on Sep 4th, 2022 there is a new variant, with a constant influx of 50 weekly infections for 16 weeks, which has 40% immune escape and 20% increased risk of hospitalization and death relative to Omicron. 1x increased transmission (5_1xbeta_Lmin0p5) assumes a one-time 5% increase in contact rates at the start of the projection. the A basic quantile autoregression fit using influenza-related hospitalizations and doctors visits, jointly trained across locations using the most recently available 21 days of data. ", Positivity rate includes people in state and federal prisons, US Immigration and Customs Enforcement facilities, US Marshal detention facilities, and Department of State Hospitals facilities. "covid-map-txt-state-NJ": "New Jersey", "covid-vaccine-txt-paragraph-state-breakdown": "This chart shows the percentage of the population of each state that has received a vaccination, broken down by age group. "covid-map-txt-state-WY": "Wyoming" California is tracking data to understand the spread of COVID-19. Testing for COVID-19 The number of COVID-19 diagnostic test results in California reached a total of 188,050,348, an increase of tests from the prior day total. "covid-map-txt-switch-hot-spot-visually-hidden-trend": "for hot spots trend", LEMMA provides credibility intervals and scenarios for future cases, hospitalization, ICU, deaths and Rt. "covid-map-txt-state-OK": "Oklahoma", Gavin Newsom today recapped California's dire COVID-19 condition, painting a bleak picture for this holiday season. "covid-map-txt-tab-btn-map-trend-view-visually-hidden-total-cases-map": "Map view - total cases", "covid-map-txt-pr_md_npps-b2": "Per 100,000 people", The CDC is reporting about 82,000 new covid cases daily, on average, although the true number of infections is assumed to be many times higher because so many people test themselves at home. "covid-map-txt-key-median": "Median forecast", Thenine Coachella Valley cities added 157 new COVID-19 cases in the week ending Tuesday. Deaths have a 22-day lag due to delays in reporting. About 280,000 Californians died during the 12-month period, representing a higher-than-average surge, year over year. "covid-vaccine-txt-age-breakdown-description": "This chart shows the percentage of the U.S. population that has received a vaccination, broken down by age. "covid-map-txt-state-WV": "West Virginia", COVID-19 has affected the trend in several ways. "covid-map-txt-control-center-total": "Re-center the total cases map", The CovidActNow model is a SEIR model with compartments for disease severity and medical intervention. IHME uses a hybrid modeling approach to generate its forecasts, which incorporates elements of statistical and disease transmission models. Youyang Gu created a COVID-19 projections website that in some cases has been more accurate at predicting coronavirus deaths than pandemic experts. "covid-map-txt-table-hot-forecast-warning": "There is an uncertainty interval for this future date. California COVID Assessment Tool According the state's projection, Marin County could see 115 COVID-19 hospitalizations on July 13 a figure that would represent an 850% increase from the. COVID-19 cases continue to trend downward in Riverside County and the Coachella Valley, but state projections suggest another increase in cases could be on the horizon as cooler months approach. "covid-vaccine-txt-demographics-age_75plus": "Age 75 and up", "covid-vaccine-txt-map-table-third-column-title": "Fully vaccinated", "covid-vaccine-txt-demographics_fully-vaccinated_40_49": "The percentage of people in the United States between the ages of 40 and 49 who are fully vaccinated is ", All data and predictions include the delta and omicron variants and other SARS-CoV-2 variants. Britain . "covid-map-txt-slider-forecast-direction-new": "Forecast", "covid-map-txt-dncs-sub": "New cases per 100,000 people", "covid-map-txt-table-total-trends": "Total cases trends data", "covid-map-txt-state-SD": "South Dakota", CBS News Bay Area: Free 24/7 . If you're not vaccinated, outdoor activities pose a lower risk than indoor activities do. 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